Trump Lost

Analyzing The Potential Consequences Of Trump As A President In 2024

Blog
Blean Tsige
27/09/2023

It seems as if Trump believes that he will become president again and he is investing a lot of money in his presidential campaign, which is quite odd as the picture of Simpson's predictions. In many episodes, they have managed to create moments of Trump that happened in the future. Sadly, also Trump running again for president in 2024 was one of their prophecies. 

Numerous News outlets have covered Trump's comeback because he is the first President to be "the second commander-in-chief ever elected to two nonconsecutive terms", reports CNN (Orr et al., 2022). The article, furthermore, suggests that Trump is explicitly aiming for this triumph and seems to focus on the same slogan as beforehand, that is that he wants to Make America Great Again - MAGA-. This was announced in Mar-a-Lago, during Trump's speech to his rally supporters the place "where his campaign will be headquartered" (Orr et al., 2022). 

The situation makes it seem as if everything has stayed the same from the last time he was President. Trump is still applying the same strategies, slogans and locations that he has used previously in the year 2016. The consequences of Trump's controversial messages and the attitudes society holds are further discussed. 

 

What are the potential consequences if Trump is reelected? 

It seems as if the people of America have to endure that the political focus of their country will shift again if Trump is reelected as President. The shift will cause a divide in society, which could potentially widen over the course of his presidency. Trump's actions insinuate a powerful demarcation between the Republicans and Democrats, that is becoming bigger over time (Williamson, 2022). 

In the USA, the republican party is associated with conservative political beliefs. According to Jost, Glaser, Kruglanski and Sulloway (2003), "the core ideology of conservatism stresses resistance to change and justification of inequality" (Jost et al., 2003, pg. 1). These conservative ideologies rise up out of self-interest, which potentially has led to the belief that the Republican party identifies with these theories (Jost et al., 2003).  The Republican party and Trump tend to be associated with "nationalism, cultural elitism, anti-Black racism, sexism [...]", which correlates to conservative ideologies (Jost et al., 2003, pg. 13). The problem is that two years before he even proposed to run again for president "prospective 2024 Republican presidential hopefuls have already thrown their support behind another Trump White House bid" (Kumar, 2020). 

The self-interest of conservatives is one of the main motives that influence the political attitudes and behaviour for their actions (Jost et al., 2003). The same can be found with the republican party’s supporting Trump's campaigning for their own self-interest, by disregarding any other concerns the US population is dealing with. This issue is also slightly demonstrated in his slogan, MAGA (Make American Great Again. The slogan indicates that Trump will save America because Republicans believe in nationalistic ideals and thus expect that America needs saving as long as Democrats are in power. Figure 1 displays these types of people who support conservative ideologies. The picture shows an African-American man with a MAGA hat and a whiteboard representing his beliefs (Figure 1).

Trump’s rally members, who show consistent support for him, are influenced by his approach to winning over crowds. One way he does this is in a simple but successful manner, which is to create facts out of made-up tales. In other words, this is factualization which is to turn opinions into facts (Ringel et al., 2018). Most of what Trump has said online or in his rallies has been proven to be lies and outright untrue facts. However, since Trump turns his lies into arguments and convinces his crowds that these are true, the crowds and Trump, create opinions that are turned into untrue facts. 

 

Figure 1. Trump's supporter is influenced by his slogan

 

The second approach deals with this part of society that is supporting Trump, who will turn beliefs into socially shared truth, by socialisation (Ringel et al., 2018). These supporters, share their beliefs and thus, the third approach is that their manner of teaming up is turning them into something like tribes (Ringel et al., 2018). These three factors seem to indicate a bigger problem, which is that there are "implications for beliefs, policy preferences, and political conflict" (Ringel et al., pg. 13,). This in turn somewhat explains the divide between Republicans and Democrats, which will continue to widen through Trump’s potential Presidency. 

 

Conclusion: MAGA

In conclusion, the short analysis suggests the main consequences of Trump becoming President again. These are that the political discourse would shift to conservative ideologies, which is supported mainly by the Republican party, which is backing Trump. Another issue is that Trump’s support system is strong. Trump and his rally supporters believe that Trump is saving America through his potential reelection. To hinder this would mean that his supporters, including the republican party, believe that this could consequently destroy America.
 

Reference

Jost, J. T., Glaser, J., Kruglanski, A. W., & Sulloway, F. J. (2003). Political conservatism as motivated social cognition. Psychological Bulletin, 129(3), 339-375.

Kumar, A. (2020, December 12). Trump tells allies he will run in 2024, but hints he may back out. POLITICO. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/14/trump-2024-possible- run-444460

Orr, G., Holmes, K., & Stracqualursi, V. (2022, November 16). Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024. CNN. https://edition.cnn.com/2022/11/15/ politics/trump-2024-presidential-bid/index.html

Ringel, M. M., Rodriguez, C. G., & Ditto, P. H. (2018). What is right is right: A three-part account of how ideology shapes factual belief. In Belief Systems and the Perception of Reality (pp. 7-28). Routledge. https://cpb-us-e2.wpmucdn.com/sites.uci.edu/dist/1/863/ files/2020/06/Ringel-Rodriguez-Ditto-2019.pdf

Williamson, K.D. (2022, November 15). Why Trump Could Win Again. The New York Times. https://www-nytimes-com.tilburguniversity.idm.oclc.org/2022/11/15/opinion/ trump-2024-announcement-republicans.html